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Now that my new book “The Next Half Century” is published and selling well, I have turned to my next book “America Tomorrow.”

“The Next Half Century” looks into the population and economies of the first, second and third world countries. In the next book, I will be focusing on the next half century in the U.S. and opine on its economy, demography and changes in the lifestyles of Americans.

As a demographer and economist, I always look at demographics as a starting point to predict a country’s path of growth. This past week I focused on California and the UC school system.

As has been widely reported, California is no longer able to brag about its unbridled population gains. The culprits are three-fold: more folks moving out than moving in, women having fewer children, and immigration from abroad has slowed.

The forthcoming Presidential Election is going to be the most expensive and probably the closest contest in U.S. history. In this article, I take a look at the various factors that will play a role in the election.

First, I take a look at the United States Senate and its composition. There are 43 states that are either wholly Demographic or wholly Republican. Combined, they form a picture of what the United States looks like and which way it leans.

In terms of leaning, the Republicans lean inland. Four out of five Senate Republicans live inland. Conversely, four out of five Senate Democrats live on the East Coast. None of the Republican Senators serve the West Coast.

Alan Nevin offers his viewpoint on the state of the national economy and focuses on the employment and real estate sector on San Diego.

Overall, Alan is very positive about both the U.S. and San Diego economy as we move forward in this election year. He definitely sees a decline in long-term interest rates, a reduction in inflation and an ebullient job market, both Nationally and locally.

Locally, he sees the existing and new home market returning to relative normalcy with prices up 8-10% in 2024. The apartment market will be deadly flat in terms of rents and occupancy as a substantial number of new units come to market. Equally flat will be the office market with the exception of medical office space which will continue to prosper. And all will be well in the retail, industrial and life science sectors.

For current and future generations, there will be an adequate supply of apartments in Mission Valley.

We recently updated our inventory of apartment projects in Mission Valley and nearby Midway/Old Town.

By our latest count, 26,000-plus units are being planned for the region. Admittedly, they won't all get built in the next few years, but they will most certainly blanket the landscape during the next two decades.

The four largest pods of multifamily units are being planned for Midway Rising, NAVWAR, Riverwalk and SDSU West, or SDSU Mission Valley.

By Alan Nevin

The Electoral College was placed in the Constitution to better ensure the equitable representation of all states. There is one electoral college vote for each senator and one for each member of the House of Representatives. In total, there are 538 electoral college votes available with 270 needed to elect the president.

Notably, the popular vote doesn’t count, as Hillary Clinton found out. And with Electoral College voting, in all states except two (Maine and Nebraska), the winner of the popular vote takes all of that state’s electoral votes.

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